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Growth in Fragile States in Africa

African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) launched a collaborative research project on Growth in Fragile and Post-Conflict countries - supported by the International Development Research Centre (IDRC) to better understand the growth dynamics in fragile and post conflict countries in Africa. The objective is to inform economic policies that promote sustainable growth and development in fragile and post-conflict states in Africa, building resilience of these countries and thus reducing chances of relapses. A call for proposals was issued in May 2015, and a total of 77 proposals were received.


Ten proposals were selected, and these were presented during a framework paper inception workshop held in March 2016, in Nairobi, Kenya, after which the project was commissioned. For the first time in the history of AERC’s collaborative research projects, the inception workshop saw the participation of practitioners in the brainstorming – policy makers and other policy actors – to help shape the projects and thus enhance the policy relevance of the research. The coordinator of this project is Dr. Anke Hoeffler, Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE), University of Oxford, UK. Draft reports were submitted on 15 November 2016, and all researchers received feedback from the coordinator by mid-January 2017. The comments were incorporated in the revisions ahead of the final review workshop. The final review workshop was held on 4-5 March 2017, in Nairobi, Kenya, and the revised final manuscripts have been submitted to AERC, and are available to the broader audience through the AERC website. AERC is working with the project coordinator to identify a suitable outlet for the outputs of this project.

Following the successful execution of the Framework Phase of the project, a call for research proposals for Country case studies was developed and sent out in January 2017. Subsequently, twenty four (24) research proposals were received in total and are currently under review.

The draft framework papers produced under this project are available. These are for discussion and comments are welcome.


  1. “Costs of Civil War and Fragile States” by John Paul Dunne and Nan Tian
  2. “Growth in Fragile States in Africa Conflict and Post-conflict capital accumulation” by Janvier-Désiré Nkurunziza
  3. “Post-conflict Stabilization and Recovery” By Anke Elisabeth Hoeffler
  4. “The Anatomy of Fragile States in sub-Saharan Africa: Understanding the inter-relationship between fragility and deprivation” by Andy McKay and Erik Thorbecke
  5. “Micro-Economic Foundations of Fragility: Concepts, Measurements and Application” by Ghassan Baliki, Tilman Brück, Neil T. N. Ferguson and Sindu W. Kebede
  6. “State fragility, macroeconomic policies and macroeconomic outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa ” by Chuku and Kenneth Onye
  7. “Exploring the nexus of growth, inequality and fragility in Africa” by Nicholas N. Ngepah and Ruth Ngepah
  8. “Macroeconomic Management in Fragile States of Africa:Issues and Challenges ” by Alemayehu Geda
  9. “Exporting to Conflict and Fragile States: Firm-Level Evidence”, by Peter W. Chacha and Lawrence Edwards
  10. “Understanding Inclusive Growth in Africa’s Fragile States: Any Role for Fragility and Financial Inequalities?” by Babajide Fowowe and Emmanuel Oludele Folarin

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