This paper develops an empirical model for Ghana's real exchange rate with
special focus on foreign aid. The novelty of this study is the interfacing of
exports with a policy environment, using aid as proxy, to see how it affects
export performance.
The paper finds that although aid dependence is quite high, aid inflows lead
to depreciations in the real exchange rate. Aid inflows have also had a positive
impact on export performance.
The paper concludes that for external aid to be an effective investment, policy
management needs to focus on ensuring the prevalence of sound macroeconomic
fundamentals, among others.
This paper, in broad terms, seeks to develop an empirical model for the real
exchange rate in Ghana with special focus on the role of foreign aid. The paper
then attempts to link this with an export performance model in order to identify
policy implications and management issues.
Generally, it is hypothesized, first, that external aid inflows to Ghana result
in real exchange rate appreciations, and second, that exports respond positively
to a good policy environment.
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